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Airbus predicts aviation services market to double by 2045
October 15th 2026
Airbus forecasts that total demand for aviation services will double from 2026, reaching more than US$420 billion by 2045. Read More » These services will grow at a 3.8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR), supporting a world aircraft fleet that will increase to 45,550 by 2045. Over the same 20-year period, passenger numbers will double to 10 billion, the OEM said. This will create a cumulative need for 730,000 maintenance technicians, 660,000 pilots, and 1,050,000 cabin crew, for a total of more than 2.44 million additional skilled people. Over the next 20 years, Europe & CIS, North America, and China will remain the largest services markets by total demand, while Asia (Asia-Pacific, China, and South Asia) is projected to be the fastest-growing.
“As the global fleet doubles to more than 45,550 aircraft by 2045, we need to get ready. Airbus is expanding its role as an integral services partner to support our customers across the entire aircraft lifecycle. By integrating predictive operations, fleet modernization, and advanced digital solutions, we are helping airlines ensure fleet availability, reliability, safety, and long-term operational excellence,” said Cristina Aguilar Grieder, SVP Customer Services Commercial Aircraft at Airbus.
